The Influence of Shanghai’s Population Structure on City’s Housing Demand and the Solution for Housing Supply

Xiaoli YAN, Zhenglong LI

Abstract


In a city like Shanghai, where one of the biggest and fastest growing of both the population and quantity of housing demand and supply in the world exists, the need to estimate the influence of population transition on housing demand becomes a vital task. This research presented the characteristics of Shanghai’s population transition in future and then housing demand in future is forecasted; finally, the strategy to control the housing market is presented. The results revealed that the population characteristics, the housing demand and the control strategy has interaction relationship with each other: the population characteristics and trend such as population quantity and structure lay in five points, which decides the housing demand in six ways and then it will decide the six strategies needed to control the housing market in Shanghai; while the latter ones will adapt to the variation of the former ones.

Key words: Influence; Population transition; Housing demand and supply; Housing market; Shanghai


Keywords


Influence; Population transition; Housing demand and supply; Housing market; Shanghai

References


Shi, Youliang (2005). The Impact of Urbanization of China on Demands for Urban Dwellings. Statistical Research, (9), 75-78 .

n.d. (2007). Research Report of National Population Development Strategies. Population Research, 1.

Rebecca, H.Chiu., & Ho, Michael.H.C. (2006). Estimation of Elderly Housing Demand in an Asian City. Methodological Issues and Policy Implications Habitat International.

Nordvik, Viggo (2006). Selective Housing Policy in Local Housing Markets and the Supply of Housing. Journal of Housing Economies.

Zhang, Jingxiang (2007). The Overseas and Hongkong Housing Supply System and the Reference for China. Construction Department of Jiangsu Province. Retrieved from http://www.jsein.gov.en/citydesign2007/showinfo/showinfo.asPx

Zhang, Enyi. (2007). The Existed Problems and Countermeasures of Chinese Urban Housing System. Journal of National Administration Institution, (2).




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3968/j.mse.1913035X20120603.Z0128

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